Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.049710 0.056880 0.064227 0.072286 0.080847 0.089642 0.099332
2025-10-19 0.038718 0.049197 0.060480 0.073385 0.087608 0.102689 0.119776
2025-10-26 0.031079 0.043404 0.057252 0.073633 0.092190 0.112314 0.135555
2025-11-02 0.026080 0.039700 0.055586 0.074903 0.097265 0.121927 0.150807
2025-11-09 0.021630 0.035989 0.053374 0.075067 0.100671 0.129328 0.163282
2025-11-16 0.016868 0.031243 0.049410 0.072727 0.100809 0.132710 0.170950
2025-11-23 0.013031 0.027174 0.045875 0.070553 0.100850 0.135739 0.177997
2025-11-30 0.011075 0.025448 0.045136 0.071655 0.104658 0.143023 0.189824
2025-12-07 0.009578 0.024183 0.044861 0.073226 0.108943 0.150798 0.202158
2025-12-14 0.008598 0.023580 0.045391 0.075756 0.114349 0.159857 0.215955
2025-12-21 0.007280 0.022231 0.044767 0.076702 0.117733 0.166465 0.226849
2025-12-28 0.007461 0.023466 0.047816 0.082479 0.127139 0.180277 0.246207
2026-01-04 0.005729 0.021121 0.045695 0.081484 0.128224 0.184325 0.254366
2026-01-11 0.004791 0.020091 0.045431 0.082950 0.132416 0.192149 0.267042
2026-01-18 0.003748 0.018612 0.044370 0.083250 0.135071 0.198073 0.277440
2026-01-25 0.003055 0.017712 0.044120 0.084610 0.139042 0.205573 0.289692
2026-02-01 0.002282 0.016383 0.043076 0.084785 0.141428 0.211088 0.299538
2026-02-08 0.001332 0.014095 0.040252 0.082289 0.140216 0.212079 0.303867
2026-02-15 0.000667 0.012071 0.037652 0.079968 0.139130 0.213147 0.308221
2026-02-22 0.000437 0.011455 0.037465 0.081145 0.142660 0.219948 0.319501
2026-03-01 0.000288 0.011054 0.037629 0.082821 0.146847 0.227563 0.331764
2026-03-08 0.000217 0.011025 0.038476 0.085519 0.152407 0.236904 0.346134
2026-03-15 0.000103 0.010443 0.038225 0.086527 0.155668 0.243342 0.356957